Many people like to back the number of goals in a game, this is becoming increasingly popular and because of that, there are many lines available to back with the bookmakers. One line that people are looking at is the over 4.5 goals line because the odds on this line are much bigger than on the others. This means you can get a huge priced winner, without actually predicting who will win the game you are betting on.
However, picking a game that has over 4.5 goals is very difficult to do and it pays to take a look at the stats so far, to try and help you select games to bet on. Look out for clubs who have a past history of being involved in high scoring games, and try and select clubs who score and concede a lot of goals if you can, this should give you a better chance of winning.
The above table is a vital tool to use when you are placing football bets on the total amount of goals. It shows every Premier League team, the average number of goals that are in the games they play, as well as the percentage of games they have where they score over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 goals. For the over 4.5 goals market, we need to look at the final column.
When looking for clubs to avoid there are nine Premier League teams who have been involved in games with over 4.5 goals less than 10% of the time, two of these have yet to be involved in one this season. For betting purposes, it is best to completely ignore those nine teams on the over 4.5 goals market, unless they show huge signs of improvement over the coming weeks.
When you are looking for clubs who you want to be backing, look out for those with the highest percentages, which in this case are Liverpool, Manchester City and Watford. They have a percentage of 33% or higher, meaning one in three of their games so far has seen over 4.5 goals. That means their actual odds of winning this line should be 2/1, but you can usually get 3/1, sometimes even 4/1 on this line, so they provide very good value.
Games involving those three clubs playing either against each other or against the next best teams, which right now are Arsenal, Everton and West Ham, who are all tracking at 20%, should always give you huge value. This should be the first place you look when you are placing your bets on this market, always look for teams that offer value based on the stats.
The six teams mentioned should provide good value when they are playing each other over the coming weeks. It is always advisable to check the stats on a regular basis, as these will change and teams will either rise or fall in the rankings, making them either better to put your money on or worse, so don’t forget to do that.
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